dc.contributor.author |
Creedy, John |
|
dc.contributor.author |
Makale, Kathleen |
|
dc.date.accessioned |
2013-07-11T03:24:37Z |
|
dc.date.accessioned |
2022-07-05T02:46:56Z |
|
dc.date.available |
2013-07-11T03:24:37Z |
|
dc.date.available |
2022-07-05T02:46:56Z |
|
dc.date.copyright |
2013 |
|
dc.date.issued |
2013 |
|
dc.identifier.uri |
https://ir.wgtn.ac.nz/handle/123456789/18780 |
|
dc.description.abstract |
This paper presents stochastic projections for 13 categories of social spending in New Zealand over the period 2011-2061. These projections are based on detailed demographic estimates covering fertility, migration and mortality disaggregated by single year of age and gender. Distributional parameters are incorporated for all of the major variables, and are used to build up probabilistic projections for social expenditure as a share of GDP using simulation methods, following Creedy and Scobie (2005). Emphasis is placed on the considerable uncertainty involved in projecting future expenditure levels. |
en_NZ |
dc.format |
pdf |
en_NZ |
dc.language.iso |
en_NZ |
|
dc.publisher |
Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington |
en_NZ |
dc.relation.ispartofseries |
Working papers in public finance ; 07/2013 |
en_NZ |
dc.subject |
Population |
en_NZ |
dc.subject |
Projections |
en_NZ |
dc.subject |
Stochastic simulation |
en_NZ |
dc.subject |
Social expenditure |
en_NZ |
dc.subject |
Fiscal costs |
en_NZ |
dc.subject |
New Zealand |
en_NZ |
dc.title |
Social Expenditure in New Zealand: Stochastic Projections |
en_NZ |
dc.type |
Text |
en_NZ |
vuwschema.contributor.unit |
School of Accounting and Commercial Law |
en_NZ |
vuwschema.subject.anzsrcfor |
140303 Economic Models and Forecasting |
en_NZ |
vuwschema.type.vuw |
Working or Occasional Paper |
en_NZ |
vuwschema.subject.anzsrcforV2 |
380203 Economic models and forecasting |
en_NZ |
dc.rights.rightsholder |
www.victoria.ac.nz/sacl/about/cpf |
en_NZ |